Methodology

How the Index works

Methodology

The Moral Decay Index organizes evidence about American civic, institutional, economic, family, cultural, public-health, and social wellbeing into a framework for public understanding and moral reflection.

Transparency notice: The Moral Decay Index is an independent editorial and research framework. It is not a scientific diagnosis of any person, party, demographic group, religion, or nation. Current scores are provisional editorial estimates unless accompanied by a complete calculation table.
The process

From evidence to an Index score

A composite score is a summary, not a substitute for the underlying evidence. Readers should examine the measures, sources, time periods, and limitations behind every conclusion.

1

Define the indicator

State precisely what social condition is being examined and why it matters.

2

Select evidence

Prefer original, public, methodologically transparent, and repeatable datasets.

3

Compare trends

Evaluate direction, magnitude, historical baseline, geography, and uncertainty.

4

Score and explain

Publish the result with its inputs, weights, update date, sources, and limitations.

The framework

Eight indicator areas

These areas are related but not interchangeable. Evidence may affect more than one indicator, and no single indicator defines the condition of the country.

1Political Polarization
2Trust in Institutions
3Income Inequality
4Mental Health Crisis
5Family Stability
6Crime & Violence
7Substance Abuse
8Cultural Cohesion
Scoring

What a score means

0–100

A higher score represents greater observed deterioration relative to the selected baseline and measures for that indicator. It does not represent the percentage of Americans who are immoral.

Lower observed strainGreater observed strain

Until a complete calculation table is published, treat the displayed number as a provisional editorial estimate—not a validated scientific measurement.

A documented score should identify

  • The measures included and why they were chosen
  • Baseline and comparison years
  • Geography and population covered
  • Definitions and units
  • Normalization formula
  • Weight assigned to each measure
  • Source for every input value
  • Last update date and revision history
Source selection

Evidence hierarchy

Preference is given to original, publicly accessible evidence from government agencies, universities, peer-reviewed journals, established nonpartisan research organizations, and reputable longitudinal surveys.

News reports and opinion pieces may provide context, but they should not be the sole support for an Index score. AI output is never treated as a source.

Review Data Sources
Interpretation

Limitations matter

Composite indexes simplify complicated realities. They can conceal regional variation, unequal effects among groups, measurement changes, missing data, uncertainty, and legitimate disagreement over what should be counted.

  • Correlation does not prove causation.
  • Simultaneous trends do not show that one caused another.
  • Survey wording and definitions can change results.
  • A national average may conceal local conditions.
Updates and accountability

The framework will evolve

Major score revisions will include an update date and an explanation of what changed. New evidence may change a score, a weight, an indicator definition, or the interpretation of a trend.

Evidence-based corrections are welcome. Send the page URL, disputed claim, and supporting source so the concern can be reviewed.

Review or challenge the work

Transparency is meaningful only when readers can inspect the evidence and question the judgment behind it.

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